tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6034478.post515500065908431260..comments2024-03-28T10:12:03.189-04:00Comments on Doug Ross @ Journal: CHART: The Obama Defectors and What They MeanUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6034478.post-45743144271444988392012-11-04T11:09:50.428-05:002012-11-04T11:09:50.428-05:00Urhm, you mean... historic, again... after the las...Urhm, you mean... historic, again... after the last mid-term? Heh.<br /><br />Why do I expect the Romney landslide to be a complete "surprise" and totally "unexpected"? Though those terms seem quite familiar, for some reason.Doomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04392444624210801173noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6034478.post-52927165865625397702012-11-03T22:07:34.383-04:002012-11-03T22:07:34.383-04:00Actually, my fellow statistical friend, if this an...Actually, my fellow statistical friend, if this analysis overstates the defectors by 50%, then that means ~6 million plus (not 9 million) votes are deducted from Obama and added to Romney...giving Romney a 3 million vote edge.<br /><br />I believe you meant if it overstates the defections by **100%** (i.e., ~4.5 million defections vs. 9 million) that it winds up a tie. <br /><br />As I have just blogged, I see a 10%+ edge for Romney, and I give my reasons there. And I used this fascinating WaPo (HAAHH!!) analysis.Jewish Odysseushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16704379332151214452noreply@blogger.com