The prediction market InTrade has an impressive -- but not perfect -- record at forecasting elections.The latest numbers for the Senate show eight pickups for the GOP with three or four more possible.
California's 18 is misleading: the number has swung wildly throughout the campaign season and promises to do so leading up til Tuesday given the breaking reports that Boxer used her position to airdrop $8 million to her son.
The numbers represent, essentially, the percentage of probability and range from 0 to 100, with the latter number indicating a virtual lock.
52 -- Democrats to control the Senate after 2010 Congressional Elections
41 -- AK Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Miller) to win
98 -- AR Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Boozman) to win +1
18 -- CA Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Fiorina) to win
65 -- CO Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Buck) to win +1
98 -- CT Senate -- Democrat Party candidate (Blumenthal) to win
91 -- DE Senate -- Democrat Party candidate (Coons) to win
90 -- FL Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Rubio) to win
67 -- IL Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Kirk) to win +1
95 -- IN Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Coats) to win +1
95 -- KY Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Paul) to win
94 -- MO Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Blunt) to win
74 -- NV Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Angle) to win +1
97 -- ND Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Kirk) to win +1
91 -- PA Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Toomey) to win +1
69 -- WA Senate -- Democrat Party candidate (Murray) to win
73 -- WV Senate -- Democrat Party candidate (Manchin) to win
90 -- WI Senate -- Republican Party candidate (Johnson) to win +1
All this means is that every... vote... counts. The stakes for this country could not be higher. Don't take anything for granted.
We must send wave after wave after wave of patriots to the polls early Tuesday morning.
You don't have to storm a beach or drop into the Stan.
You just have to vote. Wake up at 4:00am if you have to. Be the first in line and cast your vote for liberty.
8 is okay, but we could - should have more.
ReplyDeleteNo doubt, there is no reason to go into this Fashion pushing an overt anti-GOP addiction, giving us some less then stellar candidates.
But WE as a TEAM now have to vote big, make it count, and checking to see if the VOTE has been played with.
This is the one time we get to say "hell no" to the likes of Obama, Pelosi, Reid, Clinton, Couric, Williams, Mitchell, Maher, Moore, Durbin, Schumer, Obey, Waters, Rangel, Matthews, Krugman, Klein, Friedman, HUFFPO, etc.
These unethical liars, who seemingly could not run a bathtub already filled or drained safely, should NEVER be allowed to have such power again. Pelosi has shown us, just like the Clintons before, they use the PUBLIC DOLE as their own private piggy bank - and give us the worst, dangerous policies as well.
And on top of it all, just after the Democrats at NPR slammed Juan for telling the truth about the vivid problems with the Muslim Religion today, we see another "Man Made Disaster" attempting to kill as many as possible.
Democrats who said TERRORISM did not exist, was merely Republican "fear mongering" should pay attention. That garbage is not healthy, and with this disastrous Collectivist GARBAGE, we are sinking like a rock thanks to the Democratic Party.
No more, no more, no more.
Time to elect the Adults, and time to never forget the shear insanity of the Democratic Party anymore.
Anyone in the future talking about 'laying down' for the Democrats again, should seriously think about getting some professional help.
PS: Christie has been one of the biggest SYMBOLS for the recent attraction on the Conservative - Republican side today. It is clear his leadership is part of the reason - just as the prior admirable efforts by the Bush Administration, have given such a serious distinction between the two Parties. Many of the Independents voting this NOV against the Democrats, definitely will be offering a protest vote. However, many of them are not seeing this in a vacuum.
ReplyDeleteThe old used car swindle of some self serving Pundits tried to tell us how the two Parties are the same. That was the biggest BS, I have ever heard. Why would the Democrats care if Christie was elected, if this equating sophistry had any basis?
No doubt there are going to be many playing a fashion, who will try to tell us, Republicans won't be any better. Bull crap. UTTER garbage - which is not even close to conservatism.
Anon, +1000.
ReplyDeleteAnd time to ignore the polls and get down to business. No way we settle for a measly 50-60 seats. Not good enough. So one last push and then it's done. Get outta the house and VOTE.
In case a reminder is needed: here is why we need to get every able body out there to vote.
ReplyDelete