The polls are specifically designed to drive a narrative that Obama is surging and Romney is struggling. Increasingly, though, the polls are having to go to ridiculous efforts to support this meme. Friday's CBS/New York Times poll, for example, uses a D+13 sample of registered voters. This is absurd.
...In 2008, an historic election wave for Democrats, the electorate was D+7. In 2004, when George W. Bush won reelection, the electorate was evenly split. In other words, D+0. Repeat after me; the Democrat share of the electorate is not going to double this year. Given the well-noted enthusiasm edge for Republicans this year, the electorate is going to be far closer to the 2004 model than 2008. Any poll trying to replicate the 2008 is going to artificially inflate Obama's support.
Let's try a simple thought experiment. Imagine if, for a week, all media polls decided to use a sample that replicated the 2004 electorate--a D+0 model. Given the GOP's enthusiasm edge--even the CBS poll found Republicans voters with a double-digit lead on enthusiasm for the election--the electorate is going to look a lot more like 2004 than 2008. Imagine how the narrative of the campaign would change. The CBS poll found Romney beating Obama among Independents by 11 points. With a balanced partisan sample, Romney would likely post consistent leads against Obama.
Let me repeat: Even this pathetic excuse for a Times poll shows Independents breaking for Romney by a double-digit (11 percent) margin.
Furthermore, more likely voters are self-identifying as Republicans, not Democrats. The numbers this year would indicate that an R+3 model is required for accuracy.
And an R+3 model by these corrupt SOBs would have Romney winning by a very formidable margin.
We are watching legacy media die, right before our eyes. Not only is the media utterly corrupt, but so are their polls, "news" articles, and op-eds.
Vote accordingly in November.