Dan Riehl observes that Hillary's "Comeback Kid II" meme may be significantly overblown.
The [local poll] results were there all along, [they] just didn't generate any buzz:Obama Hillary
Suffolk/WHDH 01/05 - 01/06 500 LV 35 34
Concord Monitor 01/04 - 01/05 400 LV 34 33
CNN/WMUR/UNH 01/04 - 01/05 359 LV 33 33
Suffolk/WHDH 01/04 - 01/05 500 LV 33 35
Reuters/CSpan/Zogb 01/03 - 01/05 844 LV 30 31
Mason-Dixon 01/02 - 01/04 600 LV 33 31
CNN/WMUR/UNH 12/27 - 12/30 521 LV 30 34
Larwyn predicts the endgame: a "Hillary-Obama ticket, don't laugh, don't shiver."
No one over here is laughing. Because a McCain nomination doesn't stand a chance against either Dem front-runner.Charlie Foxtrot wonders where the extra votes came from:
In 2004, in a desperate battle to try to unseat the facist Bush war regime, the Dems managed a grand total of 217,401 votes in the pivotal NH primary.
This year, and a much more open, and winnable, race for the Presidency, the Dems have a total of 215,315 votes. But that is only with 79% of the precincts counted. If you project this rate out to 100%, that would predict ~272,500 total votes.
So I guess my question is... where did those extra 55,000 votes come from? I am sure there are a number of factors, from new voters, to the wandering NH independents. But I also have to wonder how many of those were Hillary supporters who were shipped in to pump up the volume and might have... stuck around to vote? What are the NH polling place criteria anyways?
OK, I know I am cynical...
Cynical? Or a realist? I seem to remember reports of Illini voters getting bused up to Wisconsin in 2004 in a bid to take the latter state for John Kerry. But Democrats would never resort to vote fraud. Would they?
The Democratic Primary Google Map (above) does show that the closer to Boston one got, the better Hillary's support became.
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