I am still hearing the scenario I circulated earlier (listed below as Scenario 2, "Slaughter Solution 1") is the most likely. But here are the 5 possible scenarios for moving health care through the House.
Senate Bill (Senate Amendment to H.R. 3950) Reconciliation "Sidecar" (yet to be reported by Budget Committee Scenario 1: "Play it Straight" Rule provides for an up or down vote Rule provides for an up or down vote Scenario 2: "Slaughter Solution 1" Rule "deems" the Senate bill passed immediately and sends the bill to the President Rule provides for an up or down vote Scenario 3: "Slaughter Solution 2" Rule "deems" the Senate bill passed upon House adoption of reconciliation sidecar Rule provides for an up or down vote Scenario 4: "Slaughter Solution 3" Rule "deems" the Senate bill passed when the Senate passes the reconciliation sidecar Rule provides for an up or down vote Scenario 5: "The Double Whammy" Rule #2 "deems the Senate bill passed immediately and sends the bill to the resident Rule #1 allows the Rules Committee to turn off the motion to recommit Rule #2 "deems" the sidecar bill passed immediately and sends the bill to the Senate
Later (6:30pm ET):
The budget committee is all smoke and mirrors. They are required to pass out a budget reconciliation bill in order to start the process. They just dressed up an old version of the House bill in reconciliation clothes so Pelosi and the rules committee have a vehicle they can completely amend with their own reconciliation instructions.
Likely Wednesday, the rules committee will report a rule which essentially does 3 things. 1) sets the time for debate; 2) makes 1 substitute amendment in order; and 3) deems the Senate bill passed.
The House will proceed on 3 votes on health care.
1) approval of the rule (this will be the big vote since it passes the Senate bill by default)
2) approval of the leadership/rules Amendment in the nature of the substitute (strip the budget committee text with the leadership text)
3) final passage
Thoughts appreciated.
Related:
• Fourteen Months of Hell: A Brief, Illustrated History of the Ill-Fated Democrat Health Care Nationalization Efforts of 2009-10
• The 'Slaughter Solution' -- the Legislative Equivalent of Martial Law
4 comments:
My thoughts are that all five scenarios are positively disgusting and worthy of impeachment of anyone who votes for this unconstitutional crap in violation of their oath of office.
Though I agree with Jim, all are disgusting, I am inclined to think number 2 most likely. When Gibbs et al get on the news and boast it will be the law of the land within a week they intend to have a signing ceremony to nail down that point. They have to be planning on sending a bill directly to the POTUS.
Everyone that votes for this should know that they are taking this country in a very dangerous direction. What is done once can and will be done again. The Constitution itself will not matter anymore. Those that vote aye must be removed from office; at the ballot box if possible, by referendum if that does not work, by any means necessary if the first two fail.
If this creature waddles out of the House without a floor vote and onto Obama's signing table, then let a hundred recall petitions bloom. And sign me up.
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